Hour 1 - TX AG Ken Paxton Stops By

Buck Sexton (0:00)

Welcome everybody to the Friday edition of Clay and Buck. Have a happy Halloween, everybody. Tomorrow, I know, is the big day.

Clay will be out there, dressed as who knows what. Johnny Cash, the Joker, you'll have to wait to see on his Instagram. But, and I will not be, I will not be, I will be gardening and playing paddle this weekend. That's what I've got on the...

Clay Travis (0:25)

You'll probably be on the porch yelling at all the kids to keep it down and they're making too much noise trick or treating.

Buck Sexton (0:31)

Do you have a surveillance camera of my house? Because that's what happened last year. Yes, indeed, sir. We will tell you about all the election stuff. As you know, Tuesday is the big day. Get out there and vote. You've been vote shamed enough at this point. Don't make me unleash the Clay Travis on you for more vote shaming. Get out there and vote. Make sure that you show up and do your part here. It's very important. There's going to be some extremely close races. That is, I think, for sure.

That means that you really have to take it upon yourself to engage in your civic duty and vote. So I'm absolutely in favor of you going out as soon as possible. We also, on this show today, have a phenomenal lineup of guests for your listening and viewing pleasure. Remember, the YouTube, youtube.com/clay and Buck, subscribe, please. We've got the AG of Texas. Ken Paxton will be with us. And he is, as you know, of course, in this critical Senate battle. I think this is the most important one.

This is the red wall of freedom that we have to hold. Fortress Texas must hold.

So Ken Paxton will be with us at 1230 from the campaign trail. We're going to get right from him, how it's looking, what he's hearing, take us out into the front lines of that contest. Ann Coulter will be with us at 1 o'clock Eastern time. She's going to talk to us about all kinds of great stuff going on right now. Well, political stuff mostly. And then our friend Sarah Carter, who's the Director of the White House Office of National Drug Control Policy, will be with us. She's the drug czar, essentially. Some things that people should know that are not being publicized enough about the victories the Trump administration is having in the war on drugs, saving lives, bringing down dramatically importation of fentanyl specifically into this country, which is a multi-pronged effort. With all of that said, the election looms largest right now. Clay, I wish you were standing at one of those big fancy boards on TV or something.

SPEAKER_3 (2:36)

I would like to have that job at some point.

Clay Travis (2:38)

I'd like to do the weather and I'd like to be the data guy on election night at some point. I'd like to do both of those things on TV.

Buck Sexton (2:44)

Work us through the early vote data, sir. What have you got?

Clay Travis (2:47)

All right. So, instead of paying attention to polls, I've been telling you guys, hey, we have so many early vote metrics to analyze that that is the more reliable data. There are roughly 45 million people who, like you and me, Buck, have already voted so far.

In that early vote, in the places where you have registered Republicans and you have registered Democrats, Democrats have a 44 to 32% advantage. That's the early vote. That's also the mail vote combined, M-A-I-L, mail vote, not M-A-L-E vote, all right? 44 to 32% advantage, okay? Say, okay, it's 12 point advantage for Democrats. Democrats tend to vote by mail and they tend to go vote earlier. How does that compare to past elections? Well, we have a good data point for you. In 2022, which was actually a pretty decent year for Republicans, it was the year we hoped we were going to get a red wave and we kind of got a red wave in Florida and in New York, but in much of the rest of the country, it kind of petered out. Democrats had a 44 to 33 advantage at this point in time, five days out now or four days out from the election. What does that mean? There is virtually no statistically difference right now between the 45 million people who have voted so far this year and far fewer people because more people are voting early and by mail this go around than in the past. Basically, we are in a dead heat race that is not very different than what we saw in 22 or 24 And so, if you are out there and you have been dissuaded in any way by the polling that everybody continues to talk about, I don't know why anybody polls in any way other than to try and influence public opinion after 45 million people have already voted. We don't need to ask people what they are going to do once early voting starts. We can just go look at what they have actually done. And by the way, story from the Washington Post.