Dwarkesh Podcast Transcripts
Dwarkesh Patel · 142 episodes with transcripts
Deeply researched interviews www.dwarkesh.com
Spoken has transcripts of 142 Dwarkesh Podcast episodes, with the speakers named. The newest listed here is from October 1, 2026.
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Latest Dwarkesh Podcast transcripts
Si Sheppard – How did a few hundred Spanish soldiers topple two empires?
October 1, 2026
Dwarkesh Patel (0:00)
Okay, today I'm chatting with professor and military historian, Si Sheppard. I want to talk to you about the conquest of the Aztec and the Inca empires, because these are some of the most shocking events in human history, unparalleled among all the military and diplomatic achievements ever made. You have a few…
In the process of doing so, they are often winning battles where they are outnumbered 100X to 1, 1000X to 1, and in many cases, not even taking a single casualty. They're doing this while upwards of 99 percent of their fighting forces are made up of the very natives that they're going to subjugate.
Si Sheppard (1:20)
Thank you. It's a great pleasure to be here. And yes, we're talking about the birth of our modern world, which played out between 600 to 500 years ago and created the modern globalized community that we all participate in today. It began in the 15th century when Europe backed up against the wall of the Atlantic…
In Spanish, meanwhile, heading west, we honor the story of Christopher Columbus in 1492, he sailed the sea blue. That was entrepreneurship. This was an expedition to arrive at the oriental markets by traveling west. Of course, his figures were completely wrong and he was saved by the fact that unknown to him, there…
- Si Sheppard – How did a few hundred Spanish soldiers topple two empires?
- Noam Brown – Agent swarms, alignment, & recursive self-improvement
- AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement
- Ajeya Cotra – Inside the OpenAI agent swarm that hacked Hugging Face
- The rise and fall of agent civilizations
- Dylan Patel – Anthropic & OpenAI will have most of the world’s compute by 2028
- Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?
- 8 Predictions for the Era of Continual Learning
- Why smarter AI models could drive up compute prices 10x
- Adam Brown – A deep but accessible introduction to general relativity
- Grant Sanderson – AI and the future of math
- The next big breakthrough will be AIs learning on the job
- The data black hole at the center of AI
- Ada Palmer – Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time
- Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?
- Reiner Pope – Chip design from the bottom up
- Eric Jang – Building AlphaGo from scratch
- David Reich – Why the Bronze Age was an inflection point in human evolution
- Reiner Pope – The math behind how LLMs are trained and served
- Jensen Huang – TPU competition, why we should sell chips to China, & Nvidia’s supply chain moat
- Michael Nielsen – How science actually progresses
- Terence Tao – Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
- Dylan Patel — Deep dive on the 3 big bottlenecks to scaling AI compute
- The most important question nobody's asking about AI
- Why Leonardo was a saboteur, Gutenberg went broke, and Florence was weird – Ada Palmer
- Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"
- Elon Musk — "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”
- Adam Marblestone — AI is missing something fundamental about the brain
- Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
- Sarah Paine — Why Russia Lost the Cold War
- Ilya Sutskever — We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research
- Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI
- Sarah Paine — How Russia sabotaged China's rise
- Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
- Nick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable
- Some thoughts on the Sutton interview
- Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end
- Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine
- How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine
- Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel
- China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer
- Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard
- Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China
- Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history
- Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
- A billion years of evolution in a single afternoon — George Church
- Why China's manufacturing economy is dominating — Arthur Kroeber
- "China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff
- Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
- Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken
- What will automated firms look like?
- Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months
- Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper
- AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu
- AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo
- AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton
- Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution
- Notes on China
- Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough
- Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI
- Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)
- Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)
- Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)
- Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
- Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT
- Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary
- @Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works
- Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin
- David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago
- Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover
- Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan
- Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change
- Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles
- Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history
- John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI
- Mark Zuckerberg — Llama 3, $10B models, Caesar Augustus, & 1 GW datacenters
- Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken — How LLMs actually think
- Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold
- Patrick Collison — Why Silicon Valley's most talented should leave
- Tyler Cowen — Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth
- Lessons from The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro [Narration]
- Will scaling work? [Narration]
- Jung Chang (Wild Swans author) — Living through history's largest man-made famine
- Andrew Roberts — Why Hitler lost WWII, Churchill as applied historian, & Napoleon as startup founder
- Dominic Cummings - COVID, Brexit, & Fixing Western Governance
- Paul Christiano — Preventing an AI takeover
- Shane Legg (DeepMind Founder) — 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architectures
- Grant Sanderson (@3blue1brown) — Past, present, & future of mathematics
- Sarah C. M. Paine — Why dictators keep making the same fatal mistake
- Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) — The hidden pattern behind every AI breakthrough
- Andy Matuschak — The reason most learning tools fail
- Carl Shulman (Pt 2) — AI Takeover, bio & cyber attacks, detecting deception, & humanity's far future
- Carl Shulman (Pt 1) — Intelligence explosion, primate evolution, robot doublings, & alignment
- Richard Rhodes — The making of the atomic bomb
- Eliezer Yudkowsky — Why AI will kill us, aligning LLMs, nature of intelligence, SciFi, & rationality
- Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) — Why next-token prediction could surpass human intelligence
- Nat Friedman (Github CEO) — Reading ancient scrolls, open source, & AI
- Brett Harrison — FTX US former president speaks out
- Marc Andreessen — AI, crypto, 1000 Elon Musks, regrets, vulnerabilities, & managerial revolution
- Garett Jones — Immigration, national IQ, & less democracy
- Lars Doucet — Progress, poverty, Georgism, & why rent is too damn high
- Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century
- Bethany McLean — Enron, FTX, 2008, Musk, frauds, & visionaries
- Nadia Asparouhova — Tech elites, democracy, open source, & philanthropy
- Byrne Hobart - FTX, Drugs, Twitter, Taiwan, & Monasticism
- Edward Glaeser - Cities, Terrorism, Housing, & Remote Work
- Kenneth T. Jackson - Robert Moses, Hero of New York?
- Brian Potter - Future of Construction, Ugly Modernism, & Environmental Review
- Bryan Caplan - Feminists, Billionaires, and Demagogues
- Tyler Cowen - Talent, Collapse, & Pessimism of Sex
- Charles C. Mann - Americas Before Columbus & Scientific Wizardry
- Austin Vernon - Energy Superabundance, Starship Missiles, & Finding Alpha
- Steve Hsu - Intelligence, Embryo Selection, & The Future of Humanity
- Will MacAskill - Longtermism, Altruism, History, & Technology
- Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics
- Fin Moorhouse - Longtermism, Space, & Entrepreneurship
- Alexander Mikaberidze - Napoleon, War, Progress, and Global Order
- Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto, Altruism, and Leadership
- Agustin Lebron - Trading, Crypto, and Adverse Selection
- Ananyo Bhattacharya - John von Neumann, Jewish Genius, and Nuclear War
- Stephen Grugett (Manifold Markets Founder) - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance
- Pradyu Prasad - Imperial Japan, the God Emperor, and Militarization in the Modern World
- Razib Khan - Genomics, Intelligence, and The Church of Science
- Jimmy Soni - Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and the Paypal Mafia
- Bryan Caplan - Discrimination, Poverty, & Mental Illness
- Richard Hanania - Foreign Policy, Fertility, and Wokeness
- David Deutsch - AI, America, Fun, & Bayes
- Byrne Hobart - Optionality, Stagnation, and Secret Societies
- David Friedman - Dating Markets, Legal Systems, Bitcoin, and Automation
- Sarah Fitz-Claridge - Taking Children Seriously
- Michael Huemer - Anarchy, Capitalism, and Progress
- Uncle Bob - The Long Reach of Code
- Scott Aaronson - Quantum Computing, Complexity, and Creativity
- Scott Young - Ultralearning
- Charles Murray - Human Accomplishment and the Future of Liberty
- Alex Tabarrok - Prizes, Prices, and Public Goods
- Caleb Watney - America's Innovation Engine
- Robin Hanson - The Long View
- Jason Crawford - The Roots of Progress
- Matjaž Leonardis - Science, Identity, and Probability
- Tyler Cowen - The Great Reset
- Bryan Caplan - Nurturing Orphaned Ideas
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