They know a political wipeout is coming

**David Pakman** (0:00)
The reckless trade war is blowing up in the faces of this administration because Canada has called Trump's bluff. They've walked away from the table and we now see astonishing chaos inside the people that are negotiating on behalf of Trump. And meanwhile, we have warning signs everywhere. Trump's health is again under scrutiny, this time because of substantial weight gain. We have more misleading information from the White House. Melania Trump just abruptly walks away from Trump when Natalie Harp appears at a car race. And Jared Kushner is already meeting with the man who could become the next speaker of the House. And lifelong Texas Republicans are openly preparing to vote for Democrats in November.
Plus, Trump celebrates Iran's economic collapse, if it's even a real thing.
While the United States is left with our smallest oil cushion in half a century, as allies revolt and voters abandon MAGA. We've got a phenomenal show for you today. If I can get through it, we will try.
Texas, Texas, the state that Republicans have owned since before some of you were born. It might be about to flip and the Republicans own voters are doing it. Now, let me give you the kind of thesis here. Texas is not potentially turning blue because Democrats necessarily got so much better. Texas might turn blue because Republicans have gotten a lot worse and their own base is finally noticing. Now, let's look at the exhibit.
The Washington Post just profiled lifelong Texas Republicans who call themselves break rank. Tom Weeks, retired, wore a homemade break rank T-shirt to a Gina in a hosa event. My party has failed, he said. We heard in this Washington Post article that we're linking to from Twila Lowry, who's a conservative Christian voted for Greg Abbott three times and is voting for Abbott's opponent in November because of data centers, an issue that Donald Trump is increasingly on the wrong side of data centers. She says are eating up her state's water, eating up her state's power, creating noise 24 hours a day from a Bitcoin mine near her town. And then 84 year old Glenda Berg voted for Abbott and Trump three separate times. And now she says she's appalled by Trump acting against what democracy is based on, specifically, that mid decade redistricting that he was pushing on Texas Republicans to try to steal some seats. So these are not mere anecdotes because we then go from these three, four stories to a Fox News poll. And the Fox News poll has Democratic candidate Ina Hosa within one point of Greg Abbott in a state where Republicans usually are running nine to 12 points ahead of Democrats. You look at the Cook political report. They moved the Texas Senate race, Ken Paxton versus James Talarico, from liens Republican to a toss up in Texas against not a random unknown Republican, but an establishment entrenched Texas Republican. Of course, Paxton's a disastrous candidate. He's been indicted for securities fraud. He's been accused of adultery by his own estranged wife.
He barely dodged an impeachment trial. He was caught on camera stealing an expensive pen. Now Greg Abbott's campaign was asked about this kind of turning of the tide. And when asked about it, they said not a single word about data centers, not a single word about water, not a single word about the reason that a lot of his voters are revolting. Instead, his press secretary put out this pathetic statement about, oh, Democrats want to defund the police and let boys play girl sports.
That is not what Gina Hinojosa has been running on. And that is not what James Tallarico has been running on. But this is an important sort of tell when your base is walking away over the important kitchen table, economic issues that we know get people voting one way or the other. We're talking about housing, electricity, water. And your response is to go to culture war nonsense. We know you don't have an answer. And the reason we know it is that we know they know. We know they know we know I'm getting the reason.
The reason we know they don't have an answer is we understand that they're aware the economic stuff when you can run on it is much more effective than the culture war stuff. And so you go to the culture war stuff when you're losing on the economics. Now, let me give the normal disclaimers before people start mortgaging their houses, betting these Texas races.
I wouldn't do that. I'm not a betting man and I don't suggest you do that.
None of what I just told you today means Texas is going to flip this November. Texas hasn't gone Democratic statewide since 1994 and the Republican Party has a brutal track record turning out its base.