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**Mike Baker** (0:42)
It's Wednesday, the 17th of June. Welcome to the PDB Afternoon Bulletin. I'm Mike Baker. Your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right, let's get briefed. First up, the secret U.S.-Iran agreement is no longer secret. Leaked details, some already disputed by the White House, reveal sanctions relief, a proposed $300 billion development fund, and major questions about Tehran's nuclear program that remain unanswered.
Later in the program, after firing off thousands of missiles and interceptors during the war with Iran, the Trump administration is taking emergency steps to expand US weapons production. But first, today's afternoon spotlight. The agreement between the US and Iran is officially supposed to be unveiled later this week, and signed on Friday at the Bergenstock Resort in central Switzerland. What better place to have a signing than a Swiss resort? How festive. But before either government could officially release the text, details of the deal appear to have already been leaked. Over the past 24 hours, multiple news organizations, including CNN, Reuters, and several Israeli outlets, have obtained supposed draft versions of what appears to be the Memorandum of Understanding, we all know that as an MOU because of course there's an acronym, that President Trump and Iranian officials agreed to earlier this week, reportedly.
While the White House insists the final text could still change before Friday's signing ceremony, the leaks are giving us the clearest picture yet of what may be in the deal. And you ask yourself how clear is that picture?
It's not that clear. The Memorandum appears to be a 60-day framework agreement designed to stop the fighting now and create space for negotiations on the far more difficult issues later. In other words, this isn't the end of the process. It is apparently the beginning. So what exactly is in the deal? That's a very good question to ask. Let's start with what Iran gets, at least according to the versions that have been viewed.
According to the leaked drafts, the US would lift its naval blockade, allow Iran to resume oil exports through sanctions waivers, refrain from imposing new sanctions during the negotiation period, and potentially begin releasing frozen Iranian assets held abroad.
The agreement would also establish a pathway toward a much larger economic package if a final deal is reached. That larger package, well, that's attracted particular attention.
Reuters reports that the framework includes plans for a $300 billion reconstruction and development fund intended to encourage investment into Iran's economy. Now, mind you, the Islamic Republic is still the Islamic Republic. It is still the existing Iranian regime. So, we're talking about encouraging investment into the existing Iranian regime. Administration officials have stressed that this would not be funded by American taxpayers. Instead, Reuters reports that it would apparently be financed by private investors and companies from the Gulf States, Asia, Africa, South America, and potentially the US. More than half of the money has reportedly already been committed. Now, take that with a grain of salt. Remember the Gaza reconstruction concept? Look, it would be an amazing turn of events, not to be churlish, if suddenly some $150 billion has already been secured somehow to help the existing Iranian regime and the Revolutionary Guard Corps, which by the way controls much of the economy, to rebuild. You could count on a significant amount of that reconstruction fund to go to the reconstruction of the Iranian missile and likely nuclear programs. And yes, I realize that makes me sound rather negative. I'm just going based on past history and track record. One of the most important provisions in the memorandum deals with the Strait of Hormuz. Under the framework, Iran would guarantee safe passage for commercial shipping through the waterway, while the US would lift its naval blockade and remove restrictions on Iranian maritime traffic. So that is what Iran supposedly gets. Again, there are very few details available concerning the unfreezing of Iranian assets at the outset. The regime seems to think that that is still happening, while US officials keep stating that no assets will be unfrozen until the regime takes concrete steps to show good faith.
Next, you may ask, what does the US get? Well, at least on paper, the biggest concession is another formal Iranian commitment, never to build or acquire a nuclear weapon. Well, if they say so, you can take that to the bank. The agreement also commits both sides to negotiate the future of Iran's nuclear program, including the fate of its enriched uranium stockpiles over the next 60 days.
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