**Megyn Kelly** (0:00)
I'm Megyn Kelly. Every day on The Megyn Kelly Show, we bring you the news, and this summer, we're bringing you something extra. Before I was a journalist, I was a lawyer. I've spent 20 plus years now covering crime and the law. So I built a true crime series that I always wanted to listen to. We're calling it MK Confidential, and there we cover cases that you've heard about, like John Benet Ramsey, Chandra Levy, the DC Snipers, Scott Peterson, and some that you haven't.
One case per week, five episodes, Monday through Friday. New episodes every week night. Search for The Megyn Kelly Show wherever you listen to podcasts, and you will find MK Confidential.
**Mike Baker** (0:49)
It's Thursday, the 20th of August. Welcome to The PDB Afternoon Bulletin. I'm Mike Baker. Your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right, let's get briefed. First up, President Trump opens a new front against Iran, promising the most crushing economic campaign ever launched against another country.
I'll have the details. Later in the show, North Korea responds to President Trump's diplomatic overtures with a barrage of 10 ballistic missiles. Huh, that doesn't seem very diplomatic. But first, today's afternoon spotlight. After nearly six months of war, two collapsed ceasefires and stalled negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump is preparing to open a new front against Iran, or well, maybe more accurately, he's preparing to increase and enhance a front that's been opened against Iran for some time. Trump announced what he called, quote, economic D-Day, promising the most crushing economic campaign ever launched against another country. And as part of his announcement, Trump warned that any country allowing its banks, businesses, airports or government institutions to provide Tehran with an economic lifeline will face what he called, quote, tremendous economic consequences, end quote. In other words, the administration wants to force the rest of the world to make a choice. You can do business with Iran, or you can do business with the US., but you can't do both. Now, Washington hasn't released the full details of this campaign, so we don't yet know exactly what penalties will be imposed or how quickly they'll take effect. But the likely targets are pretty clear. Iran has spent decades building a shadow economy designed to move oil and weapons and money around American sanctions. That network includes front companies, currency exchanges, covert financial transfers, foreign ship registries and a so-called dark fleet of tankers that conceal their ownership and location. Trump's strategy appears aimed at the foreign banks, the shipping companies and governments that allow that system to function.
And at this early stage of the planned economic D-Day, the White House is getting support from an unexpected development. The United Arab Emirates, the UAE, has now suspended financial, commercial and economic transactions with Iran following Tehran's ballistic missile attack on maritime traffic. And that could close one of the Iranian regime's most important economic lifelines. For years, Dubai has served as a financial backdoor for Tehran, a place where Iranian businesses could obtain foreign currency, import products and move money through companies that weren't always easy to trace back to the regime. Cutting off that connection could make it much harder for Iran to obtain the dollars it needs to pay for imports and stabilize its currency.
And, of course, Iran's economy is already in terrible shape. Annual inflation reportedly reached 66% in July, while consumer prices were nearly 88% higher than they were a year earlier. Food prices have risen even faster, and the value of Iran's minimum wage has continued to collapse. The war on blockade have also worsened fuel shortages. Iran was already struggling to produce enough gasoline to meet domestic demand, and restrictions on imports have made that gap increasingly difficult to fill.
Iran's leaders are still haunted, of course, by the unrest that erupted earlier this year, when economic anger evolved into a much broader challenge to the regime. Security forces crushed those demonstrations, slaughtering thousands of protesters and detaining thousands more, and Tehran clearly understands that another sharp decline in living standards could ignite those protests again.
Recent leadership changes suggest the regime may already be preparing for that possibility. Hardliners have recently been elevated to senior security positions. As an example, Hossein Tayyab, a veteran intelligence figure associated with domestic repression and brutal crackdowns on past protests, has reportedly been placed in charge of the besieged militia. Now, that militia is the favored tool of the regime to suppress and brutalize protesters.
That tells you that Tehran isn't only preparing for another confrontation with the US. It's likely also preparing for another confrontation with its own people. But there's a major obstacle standing between Trump's announcement and the economic collapse of the Iranian regime, and that would be China. Of course, to some degree, it would also be Russia. Beijing purchases more than 80% of the oil that Iran manages to export, making China the single most important source of revenue, keeping the regime afloat. If President Xi Jinping agrees to reduce those purchases, Trump's campaign could deal Iran a devastating blow. If he refuses, well, Washington will have to decide, whether it's willing to sanction Chinese banks and refiners and shipping companies and risk turning its confrontation with Iran into a much larger economic showdown with China. Beijing would have ways to retaliate, including restricting American access to critical minerals and rare earth elements. That could affect everything from defense production to automobiles and consumer electronics.
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