**Ben Hilton** (0:00)
Marco Rubio just laid out the framework for the elimination of Hezbollah. If this plan is successful, Lebanon, Israel and the entire Middle East will experience a massive shift toward peace and stability. But in what seems like a contradiction, President Trump said that he is willing to meet directly with Hezbollah. This announcement comes on the heels of media accusations that Israel is building a barrier wall, separating what is left of Hamas-controlled Gaza from the area that the IDF currently holds. The timing is interesting on this as 10,000 Israelis just marched toward IDF positions, demanding the Israeli government rebuild Jewish settlements in Gaza. Are we about to see peace in Lebanon and the Israeli reclamation of Gaza?
Joseph Aoun, Lebanon's current president, just spent time with President Trump in the White House. Just hours after their meeting, Trump surprised the world by announcing he is opening up Lebanon for direct US flights, something the US hasn't done in 40 years. It's looking like the Lebanese president's time in the White House was well spent. The deal, which was originally announced a few weeks ago, has been solidified and committed to on all sides. And here's what that deal looks like.
If the Lebanese president can disarm Hezbollah and completely clear southern Lebanon of Hezbollah's military installations, then Israel will withdraw from Lebanon completely.
The way they're doing this is through what they're calling pilot zones. Basically, the IDF just pulled out of several small areas in southern Lebanon and the Lebanese military, or the LAF as they call it, moved in.
If the Lebanese military can hold these zones, keeping them free from Hezbollah activity, according to the agreement, the IDF will continue their withdrawal and the Lebanese military will continue moving into the positions that the IDF withdraw from. The first deployment didn't go well, though. The incoming LAF said as they were moving into the first pilot zone, IDF opened fire on them, although they didn't claim any casualties. The IDF said in a statement that LAF forces tried to move past the buffer zone into an established IDF position and the IDF fired warning shots in return. President Trump said he heard about the issue and will be looking into it further. Both Israeli and American officials seem optimistic about this deal. Lebanon seems to at least have the willpower to want to disarm Hezbollah, which if they could, would be optimal not only for Israel, but for the entire region. Israel needs to regain security on their northern border so local residents can return to their homes. Having the Israeli military continue to occupy the current 10 kilometers of southern Lebanon, it's a way to regain that security, but ultimately will be costly and has been costly for Israel in blood and treasure. Honestly though, this isn't the first time disarmament of Hezbollah has been tried. In 1978, the UN Security Council created UNIFIL, a peacekeeping operation to maintain security in southern Lebanon after Israel withdrew. Obviously, this was a massive failure as Israel has had to operate in Lebanon again and again in response to massive attacks by Hezbollah and by PLO forces in the 70s and 80s. There's also the fact that Hezbollah is still entrenched in Lebanese politics and their military. To date, the top general of the Lebanese military has avoided any open conflict with Hezbollah, leading many to speculate that he has sympathy for the group. Also, there are about 62 members of the Lebanese parliament who are either an actual member of Hezbollah or show open sympathy for the group. This is a dangerous dynamic because there are only about 128 seats total in the parliament, meaning the anti-Hezbollah group only maintain a very narrow majority. Despite this, though, Lebanon's president does appear to be making a solid effort in these negotiations with Israel and the US. I think he realizes that Lebanon is at a crossroads. To date, they have received a massive amount of support from Iran, but the support has barely kept the country together. But now, with Iran's support for their proxies crumbling, I think the Lebanese president sees an opportunity. Iran's support is drying up, and America is extending a hand. After the meeting that just happened in the White House this week, President Trump said that America is going to help Lebanon a lot. Then the Lebanese president said, The time has come for Lebanon to be stable and secure. We need to support the LAF. The LAF keeps the country safe and stable. Without the LAF, everything will collapse. We don't want that. I think President Trump doesn't want that. So, like I said, it seems Lebanese leaders are seeing an opportunity here. Lebanon has been plagued by massive instability for decades at this point. And if they can gain American support, develop better relations with Israel, separate from Iran and disarm Hezbollah, this might be a once in a century opportunity to finally stabilize their country.
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