“Steve Hilton’s Got A Chance” - GOP Outsider SHOCKS California By Topping All Democrats

**Patrick Bet-David** (0:00)
Now, let's look at the gubernatorial race, because that's a complete different result as well that they had. Steve Hilton ends up taking first place. As of right now, again, it's not fully in. The numbers I have is at 27.8.
Is this from yesterday, Rob? Late last night. Go for it, yeah, I mean, go for it. That's 46% in, so we have numbers that are 64% in. Hilton's at 27.8, Becerra's at 25.4, Steyer's at 19.6, so he would be out. And Bianco, 11.3, and then Katie Porter's at 4.5.
And for some of you guys that are devout Swalwell fans, he got 18,602 votes, .4%. We have to give some credit to the guy who was supposed to be the Democratic candidate, and then all of a sudden he's out. So how different, Tom, do you think it is for the Republican, for the gubernatorial race than the mayoral race?

**Tom** (0:47)
It's usually different because you go from 2020, 22, 24, and now we are 26 You look at how the counties vote in statewide elections. It has been moving.
If you look last night, last night was amazing when you saw what Hilton got in Orange County. He wasn't just red, he was bright red. He destroyed the competition in Orange County. And you take a look at Central, if there's any maps, Rob, the state by state county map that are out there, you can basically see, and if we were able to compare, so I happen to think, and I'll see what you think, but every two years, we have seen a per a, I'm gonna use the word progressive, and that's wrong. We have seen a structured move statistically of California going more independent conservative on their voting, especially state wide. And I think this is a good sign. Now remember, the Steyer vote is going to Becerra. So we gotta add that up. It's the same situation in LA, like the mayor, you gotta put Steyer Becerra together, and now, and what that means, Xavier is probably sitting on 46 right now.

**Patrick Bet-David** (1:59)
I actually think 20% of Steyer will go to Hilton.
I actually think 20% of Steyer will go to Hilton, because what kind of a vote is a Steyer vote? It's the protest, it's the business, he's more like climate, well, you know, poor me, I'm a billionaire, but I feel so bad for everybody else. But then the average guy that's kind of like, you know what, I'll just kind of put money behind him. By the way, you know who had Steyer, which we know that guy is what's gonna go to Becerra, who's the actor, the Hulk, Incredible Hulk? Mark Ruffalo? Ruffalo had Steyer, he endorsed him, I think two or three days ago. What are your thoughts? I know you've spent some time with Hilton, he was with you guys at Fox.

**SPEAKER_4** (2:35)
Yeah, he was. I'm gonna repeat what Tom said. If you look at the center of that state all the way up, other than those coastal, you know, liberal cities, they're turning redder and redder, and it's because the education system's falling apart, the standard of living is, I mean, house prices in California are out of control, and it might, in this case, work against the Democrats and for Hilton.

**SPEAKER_5** (3:04)
Yeah, I'm gonna have to be that guy.

**Patrick Bet-David** (3:06)
Go for it.

**Rob** (3:07)
No, no, but it's just a math.

**SPEAKER_5** (3:09)
Like, we have 57% of the votes.
The leads are two or three points amongst them. We have a lot of votes of coming in. I don't see a trend that is definitive. So it's really hard to speak on these numbers right now.

**Patrick Bet-David** (3:22)
What do you think is more definitive? Spencer being in it or Hilton being in it? Hilton.

**SPEAKER_5** (3:28)
I think it's too early to tell.

**Patrick Bet-David** (3:29)
For both of them?

**Tom** (3:30)
For both of them. Okay.

**Rob** (3:31)
Because the thing is, you still have almost half of the votes coming in, and then you have two, three point leads.

**Patrick Bet-David** (3:36)
It could go anywhere yet.

**Rob** (3:38)
There's not a, I don't know if Tom, you agree, there's not a definitive trend right now, just being responsible with numbers. But the fact that the city is that close, because the city is always the biggest spread between Democrat and Republican. So it's like when Miami went to DeSantis in 2022, that was like a massive indicator that the whole state felt that way. So if LA is anywhere close to being a close race, that means the whole state has shifted that much.