Market Monday: Should We Buy The Rising Prices On Stefon Diggs, Josh Downs, and Denzel Boston? (Episode 1006 with Adam Levitan)

**Adam Levitan** (0:13)
Hello, and welcome to episode 1006 of the official establishtherun.com podcast. My name is Adam Levitan. I am one of the co-founders here at ETR, and it is time for the show You Cannot Survive Without, Market Monday. Each week, I examine the biggest risers and followers in best ball ADP and discuss whether I am buying or selling these players at their new prices. The idea is simple. To give you an idea of what the market is thinking about players and also how I am thinking about them. Reminder, if you want to use the rankings that the guys who won both the DraftKings and underdog best ball flagships lasted for $2 million each, if you want to use those rankings, you need the ETR best ball product. Obviously, I'm biased, but the reason the sharpest people all upload our rankings is because they know how hard we grind every shred of information to ensure those uploadable rankings are as accurate as possible. Our best ball product is just $60 and renews 365 days from your purchase date. So head to establishtherun.com for details. Also, for my true grinders out there, if you're putting in volume, you should check out the Solver Draft Assistant. Just as Sam Sheppard, the DraftKings winner did last year, link to the Solver Draft Assistant is in the best ball tab on ETR. Oh, and also, I know this is like technically a best ball show. I think a lot of what I talk about on here from player take perspective applies to season long. Don't forget about DraftKit Pro or the Early Bird bundle for all your season long slash redraft needs. Early Bird price only live for a limited time. So head to establishtherun.com.
All right, going to start with the risers from the last seven days. First one, Stefon Diggs up 31 spots to 105.7 overall on DraftKings. Of course, this is stemming from him signing with the Washington Commanders. Two important things on Diggs, I think. First, if last year is any indication, Stefon Diggs can still play. Remember, he was coming off of an ACL tear last season, seemingly dabbling in pink substances, definitely chilling on boats with young women, and he still played in all 17 games, still posted an elite 2.42 yards per route run, still went over a thousand yards despite only playing 57% of the snaps. I mean, Diggs had a really nice season. And second, the opportunity in Washington is really strong. We are expecting plenty of two tight end sets, which should juice the opportunity for both Terry McLaurin and Stefon Diggs. Again, when you are competing with tight ends for targets rather than more wide receivers on the field, that is better for the wide receivers on the field. Do think that will be Diggs and McLaurin for most of the snaps. So we're expecting the snap count to jump. Antonio Williams, Traylon Burks, Luke McCaffrey, they aren't keeping Diggs off the field if his body can handle it. And then the other part of this opportunity is Jaden Daniels back healthy. He can really elevate teammates. And you get some shootout effects with the way Jaden Daniels can play and also the defensive talent level in Washington. So, yeah, I had around 14% Diggs at the time of the signing. Average pick of 133.4. It doesn't feel great taking him at 105 now once you have him at 133 But I'm trying to ignore that because I still think he's such a solid pick in a vacuum. And again, one of the reasons the running back heavier starts feel better this year is the quality of wide receivers in this range and we can add Diggs to it. I'm talking Josh Downs, Jayden Reed, Jordan Addison, Matthew Golden, Worthy, Debo, Stribling, Coker, Diggs. I think that wide receiver range is pretty solid.
Speaking of that range, let's get to riser number two, Josh Downs up 6.4 spots to 86 overall.
I mean nothing is stopping the Josh Downs hype train. There's just nothing pushing it the other way. I cannot find a single person on earth or a group to say anything bad about Josh Downs. The tape bros love Downs. The analytics bros love Downs. Alignment bros are convinced he's playing in all two wide receiver sets. The coaches are raving about Downs. Front office is raving. Beat writers, laundry bros. You combine all this hype around Josh Downs with this lingering Alec Pearce ankle injury and by the way, Alec Pearce still not practicing, still reportedly a couple of weeks away, even though they said a couple of weeks ago, he'd be ready. You're just getting a meteoric rise on Josh Downs. The question is no longer, is Josh Downs a good pick? Clearly, he is. It's how expensive is too expensive.