**Adam Levitan** (0:13)
Hello, and welcome to episode 990 of the official establishtherun.com podcast. My name is Adam Levitan. I am one of the co-founders here at ETR, and it is time for the show You Cannot Survive Without, Market Monday. Each Monday, I examine the biggest risers and fallers in Best Ball ADP and discuss whether I'm buying or selling these players at their new prices. The idea is simple. Give you an idea of how the market is thinking about players, and also how I'm thinking about them. Reminder, if you want to use the rankings that the guys who won both the DraftKings and Underdog Best Ball flagships last year for $2 million each, you need the ETR Best Ball product. Obviously, I'm biased, but the reason all the sharpest people upload our rankings before they draft is because they know how hard we grind every shred of information to ensure our uploadable rankings are as accurate as possible. Our Best Ball product is just $60 and renews 365 days from your purchase date. So, head to establishtherun.com for details. Also, for my true grinders out there, if you're putting in volume, you should check out the Solver Draft Assistant. As Sam Shepard, the DK winner did last year, link to the Solver Draft Assistant is in the Best Ball tab on ETR.
All right, going to start with the risers from the last seven days. First one up, Rachaad White, commanders running back up 4.2 spots to 114 overall. On DraftKings, the NFL did not think very highly of Rachaad White in free agency. He settled for a one year contract with a base value of just $2 million from the commanders. Only 1.7 million guaranteed. In other words, less money than the bucks are paying Sean Tucker to be their number three running back this year, for example. And I think the reason that the NFL doesn't love Rachaad White, he's just not a needle mover. His calling card is pass catching and pass protection, but he's at 3.9 yards per carry for his career. The reason that Rachaad White is getting steamed up here in best ball is simply projectable snaps. Jacori Kroski-Merritt is a zero in the pass game. He's a base back only. K-Tron Allen is a round six rookie. The commanders are extremely weak at wide receiver behind Terry McLaurin. In theory, making Rachaad's pass catching a priority.
And I do agree with the projectable snaps take. I mean, I think Rachaad White will lead this backfield in snaps by a wide margin, especially if the team is bad again and trailing a lot. Commander's win total is around seven right now.
I also think Rachaad White is a sneakier example of better in best ball. You don't want to start Rachaad White in your season-long league. There's just not a huge ceiling here. But from a usable week perspective, can Rachaad White catch 50 plus balls and get seven to eight carries per game? Certainly. So I was taking Rachaad White when he was going in the 130s and the 120s, and I needed a running back. At 114, it's just a much tougher sell. I want to be going upside-wide receiver in that range a lot here, like Ricky Pearsall or Matthew Golden. And at 114, I often need to be making sure I'm getting quarterback there before it falls off a cliff. And if I am going running back there, I prefer JK. Dobbins over Rachaad White. So I just think he's becoming expensive relative to a really low ceiling.
Second riser, Jalen Coker, up one spot to 128 overall. I think this is somewhat related to the extension, contract extension that Jalen Coker got from the Panthers last week. But he's also up a bunch. Coker is in Best Ball ADP over the last month as well. Reminder, if you didn't see it, Panthers gave former undrafted free agent Jalen Coker a three year, $35 million deal with $19 million guaranteed. I actually wish that didn't happen because it just tipped the general public off that the Panthers view Coker as their wide receiver too, ahead of Xavier LeGette, ahead of Chris Brazel, the rookie. To anyone that was paying attention, I think that was already obvious. Coker not only massively outplayed Xavier LeGette the last two seasons, but Coker's peripherals weren't that far off Teter Rory McMillan's down the stretch last year.
So I think we know Jalen Coker can play. I think we know he's locked in as an every down wide receiver. The tougher question is, what is the wide receiver too for Bryce Young offense really worth? I mean, the Panthers are so obviously trying to hide Bryce. They were 29th in pass rate over expectation last season. Bryce had more than 30 pass attempts just five times all year. And when he does throw, it's just not very efficient. Bryce was 30th in yards per attempt last year, 34th in yards per attempt in 2004 So as this Jalen Coker ADP rises, we're falling a bit behind market on our rank. The market is reacting to the contract, which again doesn't really change anything really. We already knew he had this role. So I'll take Coker as part of running back heavy starts where I need usable wide receiver weeks. But I'm just not going to get overexcited about Bryce Young wide receivers.
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