Live Bet Sunday | September 13, 2026 | Hour 5

Scott Seidenberg (0:09)

Scott Seidenberg back here with you. This is Live Bet Sunday on VSiN, the sports betting network. Always on Twitter at Scott's on air, S-C-O-T-T-S-O-N-A-I-R.

Tag us all on the network at VSiN Live as we are about 20 minutes away from kickoff of Sunday Night Football between the New York Football Giants and the Dallas Cowboys, where we got some interesting market movement, if you will, taking a look at where we are right now. You can get the Giants at a plus three at reduced VIG, and you can get the Dallas Cowboys at minus, is there a two and a half somewhere? No, it looks like it's minus three everywhere. But you, oh, yeah, looks like some of the prediction markets might be okay with something here, but it is at minus three pretty much across the board, a juiced minus three, you can get the Giants plus three at reduced VIG, total 47 and a half across the board. Here at Circa, Cowboys minus three, minus 115, total minus, total is 47 and a half. We're gonna monitor that as we are 20 minutes away from kickoff to see if money comes in on the over, and this thing gets pushed up a bit where the action is in on the spread. I am in on the New York Giants. I took the plus three.

It's like a system play for me. It's week one, it's a divisional dog.

And I have a heavy lean towards the under, like almost a very, very strong, strong, massive lean for the under. But what we saw today with all of the overs and all the scoring, it's very hard for me to pull the trigger, but I'm gonna wait and see over the next 20 minutes if late money comes in and pushes this, because that's gonna be, that's gonna kind of dictate where I wanna go. But if you look at week one games, divisional week one games, since the start of the 2021 season, okay? Week one divisional games since the start of the 2021 season, the underdogs in those games, 16 and 12 against the spread, and now we have to make that 17 and 13 against the spread, because the Packers did not cover, but the Commanders did cover, okay? And the totals with both of those games actually going over the total is now 20 and 10 to the under. But coming into this week, we were 20 and 8 to the under in divisional games in week number one. And that's where we are here for the Giants and the Cowboys. It's dog in the under. Those are the plays. Average line is 3.5. Average total has been 45.5 here in these games. If the line is, let's say, or the total, how about this? Total is 47 or higher.

Total 47 or higher divisional game is 6 and 2 to the under in week one since the start of the 2021 season. If the line is a field goal, underdogs 3 and 2 against the spread. So that's exactly a field goal. But that's where we sit here. I'm on the Giants and I have a strong lean on the under. I'm going to wait and see. I'm going to wait and see. Let's take a look at where we are from a prop perspective on this game. And I'm going to give you some best lines for these props. So by the way, when I did my original, originating lines earlier this week, I'm very curious to see how I did, because I'm going to go back and look at all my numbers and see how they did it against the spread. I have Dallas minus 2.12. That is my number on this game. My number comes from the respected power ratings out there, right, as well as my trench report and other next gen stats data, NFL data that I plug in that is important to me and my origination. So I'm influenced by respected power ratings in the market.

I'm not heavily, but I'm a large percentage influenced by my trench reports. And then I'm also influenced by rest, home field, schedule, all that stuff with all my studies that I've done over the past years of looking at what the value is on home field and all that stuff. It's about 1.5, 1 points. So I have Dallas minus 2.12, meaning it's not a strong play because it's not a huge gap, but it is Giants plus three. Would not lay the three on the Dallas Cowboys. In my trench report for this game, taking a look at this matchup, I have the Giants with a slight edge in the trenches. The largest edge in my trench report comes from the New York Giants pass rush against the Dallas Cowboys pass protection. Now the Cowboys have injuries on their offensive line. They lost their starting guard, but the strength of this Dallas Cowboys offense has been, or is going into the season, their interior offensive line. They're tackles very weak grades in their pass blocking. So the New York Giants with a massive pass rush grade, EDGE, on the Dallas Cowboys here, which is why, you know, my trench report favors the Giants here. Giants run D, minimal, against the Cowboys run blocking, and Dallas' run D is actually a play, you know, benefit to them against the Giants run blocking. So the Giants, only with a slight edge in the trenches here, but the real strength comes from the New York Giants pass rush. So I actually think that they get after the quarterback tonight. I'd be looking at some sack props. Right now, we have Brian Burns, who had 16 sacks a season ago for the New York Giants.