Follow The Money | September 4, 2026 | Hour 3

**SPEAKER_1** (0:02)
That's what I always say, you always follow the money.

**SPEAKER_2** (0:04)
This is Follow The Money with Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard on VSiN.

**Mitch Moss** (0:11)
Thanks for checking in today, Mitch Moss along with Femi Abebefe, in for Pauly Howard. I think Pauly's going to be back on Monday.

**Femi Abebefe** (0:17)
So you haven't gotten an update yet?

**Mitch Moss** (0:18)
I haven't talked to him today. I wanted to let him go.
Let him rest. I don't want his phone to ping where I could wake him up from any pain medication that he might be on for the wisdom teeth.

**Femi Abebefe** (0:29)
No guest spot from Pauly in the final hour, I guess.

**Mitch Moss** (0:31)
No, I was going to do that too, but I thought yesterday would have been better for that. Oh my goodness. Where he would have been drooling, can't understand one word that he's saying.

**Femi Abebefe** (0:38)
Let's get him on V-Mix, guys.

**Mitch Moss** (0:40)
Line that up. Line that up.

**Femi Abebefe** (0:41)
On the progressive guest line.

**Mitch Moss** (0:42)
Ryan Kramer in studio, Sports Gambling Podcast. Every Friday night with Sean Green. He's going to join us coming up in 15 minutes, tons of Best Bets for the NFL season with him. Let me give you this in college football. I saw this today on Twitter. At least one top 25 team has lost to an unranked opponent in week one every year since 2020 I think it was John Ewing who tweeted this. Ooh. He asked the question, which ranked team gets upset this weekend?
So.

**Femi Abebefe** (1:10)
Let me take a look at the slate here.

**Mitch Moss** (1:12)
The smallest spreads that you can find.
SMU is laying a field goal or more now at Florida State. That did not look great for FSU last week. LSU 10 against Clemson. Notre Dame 20 and a half in Lambeau against Wisconsin or Houston Lane, almost three touchdowns against Oregon State.

**Femi Abebefe** (1:34)
I don't think it's any of those. Could I interest you in another one?

**Mitch Moss** (1:37)
Okay.

**Femi Abebefe** (1:39)
Are we sure about Matt Campbell at Penn State?

**Mitch Moss** (1:42)
No. Why should we be?

**Femi Abebefe** (1:44)
That's my thing. It feels like everyone's kind of been like, well, Penn State's going to have this great year because look at the schedule.
They avoid all the big boys of the Big Ten. Matt Campbell brought everyone from Ames to join him. So this is like Iowa State East, I guess is what they're doing, Northeast version in Happy Valley. I've never really been a big Matt Campbell guy. I've not quite honestly gotten the hype.
He was getting calls in the NFL. The Jets were damn near begging him to be the head coach of the team, and he turned it down and stayed in Ames. But I'm just not so sure on this one. I haven't talked myself yet into betting Marshall plus 23.5, but I got to be honest, I would not be stunned if Marshall just won the game outright. And it's just like, hey, Penn State's still a year or two away from actually turning into the program that they want to be, and it's a little bit early, and we're putting too much expectation in year one and game one for Matt Campbell.

**Mitch Moss** (2:38)
If anything, I would say that he never lived up to the hype at Iowa State.

**Femi Abebefe** (2:42)
He never did.

**Mitch Moss** (2:43)
And he had a lot of talent, by the way.

**Femi Abebefe** (2:44)
And Brock Purdy.

**Mitch Moss** (2:45)
Bryce Hall.

**Femi Abebefe** (2:46)
David Montgomery.

**Mitch Moss** (2:46)
Yeah.

**Femi Abebefe** (2:47)
I get Brock Purdy, David Montgomery on the same team. They lost to Washington State in the Alamo Bowl. How do I know I was there?

**SPEAKER_2** (2:53)
You were there?

**Femi Abebefe** (2:54)
Yeah, those Gardner Munches.

**Mitch Moss** (2:55)
And by the way, if you think Femi sounds out of his mind right now, let me remind you again that it's a 23 and a half point spread. Marshall right now at Circus 13 to 1 to win the game outright.
UMass was catching 29 and a half last night.

**SPEAKER_2** (3:07)
Yep.

**Mitch Moss** (3:08)
And they were 17, 18

**Femi Abebefe** (3:10)
18 is what I saw.

**Mitch Moss** (3:12)
OK, there you go. And they almost covered what Rutgers was laying in the game.

**Femi Abebefe** (3:18)
You put it that way.

**Mitch Moss** (3:19)
How about that?
That doesn't happen every day. If they were the favorite, they could have almost covered.

**Femi Abebefe** (3:26)
How embarrassing is that for Shiano? My God.