Follow the Money | October 19, 2026 | Hour 3

SPEAKER_1 (0:01)

This is VSiN, the SportsBetting Network.

Yeah, yeah. This is Follow the Money with Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard on VSiN.

Mitch Moss (0:20)

Good to have you on board today, we're live.

Just another manic Monday, Downtown Vegas, Circa Resort and Casino. Busy hour coming up, friend of the show, John Calvecchio on the show coming up in 15 minutes. He has eight entries left after all that carnage over the weekend in Circa Survivor. Crazy man, how he's been able to navigate this. I think that he is one of four people right now, currently sitting with at least eight entries left. There are two, I believe that-

Pauly Howard (0:47)

Yes, I understand it, yes.

Mitch Moss (0:49)

Two people or entries, they have 10, and there's another person with eight, like him. So he's on the show coming up in 15 minutes. And also, this scenario that could happen in the Big 12 in College Football, I think it's true, it's actually feasible.

And I would love to see what the committee is going to do for the playoff coming up in about a half an hour as well. Okay, so tonight, San Francisco lane, look at this, down to seven at DK with some juice. A lot of other books, that's seven and a half total is 51 and a half or 52 here tonight. With a, if Daniels can get through this entire game healthy, like that guy can present problems for most defenses in the league. And now they are without Greenlaw and they're without Bosa in this game, obviously on defense. You wanted to go after his rushing prop tonight, but the Niners do have a good defense against quarterbacks running the football overall.

Pauly Howard (1:35)

Yeah, they're excellent. Second few was rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks, but we didn't think he was going to take off and run last week and he went for 100 yards and was so good. So I still think he can go over the rushing yards here. This is a tough game with the props, because so many guys are banged up and compromised in this one as well.

Let's make it five in a row with this prop. Both teams to make a 33-yard field goal. These kickers are so good. Plus, Steven's got a big lead.

Mitch Moss (2:02)

Is that five in a row in prime time or just overall?

Pauly Howard (2:05)

What we've been talking about, yeah. We got three and oh yesterday and in the Thursday night game too. This was, I just think these kickers are automatic in that range. Eddie's got a big leg. Shanahan trusts him from way out and Steven's kids made several from 55 out as well.

But this is tough about the sky high total.

The number you're going to give out here with 11 in a row in prime time. I think the letdown happens in Atlanta Sunday for the 49ers.

I think they bring it tonight though. Even with all these guys out and still like cooks, anytime touchdown is unbettable how low he's at. But I just think Purdy is so good, Shanahan is so good. This defense has been just an abomination in the second half. Ninety-five points allowed, worst in the league. Four games in a row, giving up 20 plus points in the second half. They also have one win on the season. They are tied for second in turnover differential. So they're playing clean, they're taking it away and they still can't win games. So I think this sets up where the Niners should be able to get what they want offensively no matter who's out because the quarterback and the coach are so good. And then with the short weekend travel, there's a letdown in Atlanta Sunday. That's how I see it.

Mitch Moss (3:19)

I will close out a teaser tonight on the Niners minus one and a half. I'm tempted to take the commanders at plus seven and a half to go for a middle. Could land three, could land four, could land seven. Potentially, there's a pretty good middle to work with there. I don't know if I'm going to do it yet or not, but I will point this out. Talked about it earlier today with Nick Whelan. If you miss it, you can always go back and listen to the Follow the Money podcast, wherever you get them. He was on today. He brought this up. I'll bring it up again. So, Washington's past defense on the year, 29th overall in the league in scoring their 30th defensively. So, they allow on average almost 75 yards per game to tight ends alone.

It's 28th in the league.

Seven touchdowns overall in the year second most. Likely, last week had 94 yards and two touchdowns. Earlier this season, Dallas Goddard had 77 and two touchdowns. Jake Ferguson scored two touchdowns. There's no Debo Samuel in this game tonight.