Follow the Money | October 16, 2026 | Hour 2

SPEAKER_1 (0:01)

This is VSiN, the SportsBetting Network. This is Follow the Money, with Mitch Moss and Paulie Howard on VSiN.

Mitch Moss (0:19)

Welcome in. Thanks for watching on YouTube TV, listening on SiriusXM, Channel 189, iHeartRadio, TuneIn Radio, or any of our affiliates across the country. In this hour, Ryan Kramer is going to join the program, Sports Gambling Podcast, all of his best bets for the NFL for week six. Mike Palm in today for Paulie Howard, a little under the weather. Do a little baseball yet. WNBA. That starts tomorrow. Not that every single human being on the planet forgot about it or anything like that. So but you have a breakdown on that. You also gave out a future on the dream before the season started. So you get your get your thoughts on that little Major League Baseball as well. Here's something in the NFL this weekend. To me, the Saints Giants number is fishy. I mean, it stinks.

Like I don't love this Giants team by any stretch, but the Saints are going in the exact opposite direction here. A team that I liked before the season. Think about this stat for a second. Dave Klug on X. Tyler Shuck has attempted 149 passes over the last four weeks.

He's for 2 on pass attempts between the hashes.

Two of 149 attempts between the hashes over the last four weeks. That is it. And they have good tight ends that they can utilize. Dwan Johnson is very good. No offence. Across the middle. Nope. Only two. That's it. Everything's on the outside. That's pretty tough, man.

But why are they favored in the game? And I got great numbers here from Steve Mack, and if it feels stinky, here you go. Teams that have a 10% win percentage are higher than the opponent, like the Giants do against the Saints, but are playing as home underdogs, are 15 and 52 straight up, 1946 and 2 ATS. It's 29% since the beginning of the 2017 season. Now how the hell? NFL road teams that have lost their last three games against the spread and face a team with more than a 50% winning percentage, are 34, 11 and 3 ATS in their last 48 That's 76%.

Mike Palm (2:31)

Well, this is this week to week league, right?

Mitch Moss (2:33)

Yes.

Mike Palm (2:34)

You can't carry anything over, you would see. Both these stats say that the Saints are going to win this game.

Mitch Moss (2:41)

Actually, there you go. Johnny Square checking in, me.

It's been, I got to bet the Giants. I'm not going to bet the Giants.

Mike Palm (2:50)

So, you know, Gill does his segment, Guessing Lines, where if he didn't know what the line was, what he guessed it would be. If I had to do that coming off of late in the afternoon Sunday and having not looked at what the openers are next week, I would have put Giants two and a half.

Mitch Moss (3:07)

That's exactly the number I have.

Mike Palm (3:08)

Right?

Mitch Moss (3:08)

Yeah, one hundred percent like you're not going to make it three.

Mike Palm (3:12)

You couldn't have looked worse offensively against the Vikings than they did. They did nothing. What they have one hundred and twenty yards of offense at home. So tough to watch at home against a team that's thirty second in the league in offense, like the Vikings.

Mitch Moss (3:26)

Right.

Mike Palm (3:28)

So you're you also have found a game that I didn't decide I want to decide on. I'm just going to play this total and the total went up a half point from when I first looked at it. It's up to forty six and a half. But this is one of my in pocket plays. I like this game under. OK, just because of how inept their offense have been. And then the Giants quarterback situation. So I'm not saying that, you know, either team is a vaunted defense. I just think the offenses are bad here against professional defenses.

And I thought this number should be more like forty four, forty three and a half. So that's where I found the better.

Mitch Moss (4:06)

OK, Panthers and the Eagles in Philly. This is interesting. We talked about this a little bit last night before the game on Thursday night. And Derek talked about that window that you guys have to post the circuit millions numbers. It's exactly a ten o'clock flat, right? Numbers got to be in.

So Jamie does all the numbers here.

Mike Palm (4:23)

Jamie Pellegrini, yeah.

Mitch Moss (4:25)

So he put at ten o'clock, bam, I have to make a number for this game for millions. At ten o'clock in 25 seconds, I believe, was the actual time when the news came out that Jalen Hurts was going to be out of this game. So the contest number is one. Now the real life number is three and a half.