Balancing Risk In Fantasy Football Drafts

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**SPEAKER_1** (0:32)
What a grab!

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There he goes!

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Brice Hall to the end zone!

**Colm Kelly** (0:42)
Chasing the best ball, many a top prize. That's what we're doing today on RotoViz Overtime. I'm Colm Kelly. I'm joined by Kevin Szafraniec. We're gonna jump into the underdog streets today. We've had quite a few requests over the last couple of months, obviously, to do some more underdog content, so we're jumping in and having a fun time in a draft today. I'm looking forward to it here with Kevin. Kevin's jumped in. We're loading up. Kevin, are we waiting on any spots here, or are we straight in and ready? Waiting on eight people, so we'll filibuster for a little bit of time as we get into it. We're only waiting for, I believe, one now, so it's filling up quick. Kevin BBM, obviously switching over from some of our FFPC talk. No tight end premium, half-point PPR, changes up the frame a little bit. Let us know what spot we've got here and what we should be thinking about as we kick off round one.

**Kevin Szafraniec** (1:33)
We are in the one spot, so it looks like it's all wheels up on Jahmyr Gibbs as soon as we kick this thing off.

**Colm Kelly** (1:43)
Let's do it so we can pre-lock the 101 We're so confident here in the Gibbs play. Obviously, you have Bijan as well. We can talk through the versus considerations there in a moment. We were talking just before we kicked off. A bit of a heat wave here in Europe, Ireland, the UK, and over the last week or so. And before that, I was actually last week in Amsterdam, went to the Netherlands for the first time ever on a family vacation, which was absolutely a great time. But back in Ireland, I wasn't expecting to be in the 30 degrees in terms of temperature here, not as celsius, obviously, and to flip that over to Fahrenheit. It is 86, and I'll say only 86, because Shawn Siegel often laughs at me as I talk about the heat here. But I'll say I'm struggling a bit here. You probably see if you're watching on video, there may be some sweat droplets as the show goes on that I have to wipe away.
I do have a fan running in the background. Kevin was telling me he's in a little bit of a similar boat over there as well. So Kevin, the heat's getting to both of us. Is this like a middle-age thing or what's happening here?

**Kevin Szafraniec** (2:46)
Oh yeah, heat flashes are going through Riven. Yeah, our middle-age heat flashes kind of going through some manapause over here. But yeah, I mean, it's been like 90s here around Cleveland, like on and off for the past few weeks. And I guess so even now there's some wildfires going on in Canada. So even outside today, it's just like a pure haze as the kind of the smoke comes down from Canada. So I just, I mean, I'm generally like to get outdoors and do quite a bit, you know, hiking and going to parks. But I mean, for the last couple of weeks, I just stayed in the house and stayed in the air conditioning as much as I possibly can.

**Colm Kelly** (3:24)
Hide in the corner and wait till it goes away. We did take Gibbs and the question obviously comes up when we talk about some of these plays across different formats between, you know, we might mention, yeah, we'll take Gibbs there. And sometimes then we just don't talk about the secondary option. They might be like, did you forget X player existed? We had this with me and Shawn, we drafted an FFPC team recently.
And then, you know, those questions, did you forget that Treveyon Henderson exists? And obviously we didn't talk about them at that pick spot because that was a draft that we went with the Junkins at that particular slot. But Gibbs versus Bijan, I think is a very fair question this year. I just prefer Gibbs partly from his profile coming out of college and how he is luck in the NFL. It's very hard to argue then with Bijan because the thing with Gibbs has always been that the second mate there and the offense has been problematic. Now we're in a situation where it feels like maybe that won't be as much the case. The Lions may disagree. But Bijan has always had something on his side as well, who is no longer there. But he does now also have Bryan Robinson in that backfield. So I can see the case for either of them. I think for me, the 101, when I have that spot, I'm going to take Gibbs to get the Gibbs shares based on the ADP. If I'm picking at the 102 and Gibbs goes, I'm looking there to Bijan, particularly in this half point PPR format. But the wide receivers going after that, and Chase, Pukka, JSN, very, very tempting. And I may even go for them over Bijan. How are you feeling about that first kind of five picks there in terms of how to split between Gibbs and Robinson in particular?