2432: New Bitcoin Model Projects $1 Million By 2031 - Then The Dollar Breaks artwork

2432: New Bitcoin Model Projects $1 Million By 2031 - Then The Dollar Breaks

Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC Macro Signal

August 18, 2026

Samson Mow and JAN3 just released OMEGA60, a Bitcoin valuation model originally developed for El Salvador's Bitcoin Bond program.
Speakers: Justin Verrengia

Topics: Investing, Business

**Justin Verrengia** (0:00)
Bitcoin doesn't need to reach infinity. The dollar just needs to keep heading towards zero. And when absolute scarcity collides with unlimited money printing, $1 million Bitcoin stops sounding expensive. It starts sounding inevitable. Check this out. Bitcoin at $1 million isn't the end game. It's where the measuring stick itself starts to break. Samson Mow just released the Omega60, a Bitcoin model originally built for El Salvador's Bitcoin bond program, projecting $1 million Bitcoin by 2031 But here's where it gets bigger. Around $785,000 Bitcoin. The model says we enter the terminus zone, the point where Bitcoin becomes so monetarily dominant that measuring it and depreciating dollars starts losing meaning. Because eventually, the story isn't Bitcoin going up against fiat. It's fiat going down against Bitcoin. And Omega60 puts actual numbers behind that thesis. The model is built around Bitcoin's historical median annual growth rate, or MAGR, instead of relying on compound annual growth, which can get completely distorted depending on whether you measure from a Bitcoin top or bottom. The MAGR looks at the median annual return. So, for example, from 2014 through 2022, Bitcoin's median annual return was approximately 59.7%.
Omega60 rounds that to 60%.
And here's what makes that number even more interesting. Extend the data through 2025, and Bitcoin's median annual return actually rises to roughly 77%, meaning Samson's 60% assumption isn't some moonboy number designed to produce a ridiculous target. It's actually conservative relative to Bitcoin's historical median growth. Follow that 60% trajectory forward, and Omega60 puts Bitcoin at around $1 million by February 2031 Right on JV's birthday. Mark that on your calendar, February 11th. Just saying. But Samson identifies something happening before that, that I think is even more important, the Terminus Line. It's defined as the point where Bitcoin reaches half the total market capitalization of gold. With gold currently estimated at around $31.5 trillion, that means roughly $15.7 trillion for Bitcoin or $785,000 per coin. Omega60 projects that threshold at around August of 2030 And that's where this becomes bigger than another Bitcoin price prediction. Because at that scale, Bitcoin isn't some speculative asset trying to prove it belongs. It's literally competing directly with gold as global money. And once Bitcoin reaches that level of monetization, what exactly are we measuring when Bitcoin's dollar price keeps climbing? More Bitcoin adoption? Absolutely. But also a fiat currency losing purchasing power against an asset whose supply can never be expanded. That distinction matters because dollars can multiply, debt can multiply, government deficits can multiply, Bitcoin can't. $21 million forever, Laura. And this isn't happening in some economic vacuum. Global debt has already reached roughly $353 trillion.
Corporations are accumulating Bitcoin. Wall Street has opened the institutional floodgates. Nation states are entering the game. Bitcoin treasury companies are competing for supply. And the fiat system continues doing the one thing Bitcoin was specifically engineered to resist. Monetary debasement. Now let's zoom out even further. Omega60 isn't the only major model pointing toward 7-figure Bitcoin. We also have Stock To Flow projecting $1 million per coin at around 2028, the year of the next having, right around the corner. Omega60 projects February of 2031 Sailor's Bitcoin 24 model points towards 2032 Power Law points towards 2033 All different models, different assumptions, different methodologies. Yet all four converge on the same extraordinary milestone, $1 million Bitcoin, within roughly a five-year window. Nobody can guarantee that timeline. Bitcoin doesn't owe any model a damn thing. But the bigger thesis doesn't require a perfect date. Bitcoin has absolute scarcity inside a monetary system, built on endless expansion. And if Bitcoin continues monetizing, while fiat continues losing purchasing power, there comes a point where the dollar simply becomes a terrible measuring stick for Bitcoin. Because Bitcoin has a finish line, $21 million. Fiat doesn't. And that's the real story behind the Omega60. $1 million Bitcoin isn't some outrageous destination. It's what happens when absolute scarcity meets unlimited monetary expansion. Bitcoin stays scarce. Fiat keeps expanding. And eventually, the price tells you everything you need to know about which money won. And I dare say Bitcoin has already won. Check the scoreboard. And check this out. Here's the Omega60 chart from JAN3.
This was just published. The model puts Bitcoin at $785,000 per Bitcoin, entering the terminus zone at around August of 2030 before reaching $1 million per coin in 2031 The question isn't whether $1 million sounds crazy. It's whether $1 million will still sound crazy when we get there. And you can check out the chart right here. Do you see this happening? Or do you think it will happen even sooner? I'm still predicting $1 million Bitcoin by 2030 But what are your thoughts? Now, keep that number in your head, $1 million Bitcoin. Because while the models are projecting where Bitcoin is going, the money is already positioning for what comes next. And some of the biggest financial institutions on earth aren't waiting around to find out.

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