1047: 15 Transactions for Week 10

JJ Zachariason (0:02)

This is The Late-Round Podcast with your host, JJ Zachariason.

What's up, everyone? It's JJ Zachariason. In this episode 1047 of The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, thanks for tuning in. We're at a point in the season where we generally have an idea if our teams are coasting the playoffs or if they're not. Some of your teams need variants to get there, some of them don't. So, as you listen to the transactions this week, it's important to keep that thought in mind. I'm trying to help all sorts of teams here, not just the ones that are 8-1 and not just the ones that are 1-8. But hopefully, there's a little something for you specifically on this week's episode. So, let's get to it. Add Parker Washington. Travis Hunter was placed on IR after I did the 15 Transactions episode last week, and then on Sunday, we had some more issues with that Jacksonville wide receiver room. De'Ami Brown suffered a concussion, so his status for Week 10 is currently up in the air. Brian Thomas, if you watched that game, it looked like he had an ankle injury, and he was limping a little bit. So, we'll see what happens with Thomas throughout this week. The last man standing, though, is Parker Washington. He came through for Fantasy Managers in Week 9, securing 8 of 9 targets for 90 yards. He's now seen 19 targets over their last two games. Regardless of the status of these other pass catchers, with Hunter on IR, Washington should be rostered in most leagues. There's a lot of volume upside. By Woody Marks. The expectation for Woody Marks should not be that he's going to be a bell cow back in the NFL, at least this season. I don't think that's a rational expectation. With that being said, there's nothing wrong with his current role in this offense. He started getting more work back in Week 4, and since then, he's averaged a 46% running back rush share per game rate and a 10% target share. During that time frame, according to PFF's Expected Fantasy Points model, it says that Woody Marks should have been averaging 13.1 PPR points per game. He's been at 12.1. Guys, not every running back is going to be like Jameer Gibbs, or at least Jameer Gibbs not in Week 9, other Jameer Gibbs. It's okay to say that this guy might be a high-end RB3 or just a mid to low-end RB2. And not only that, Marks could just improve as he gets more reps in the NFL. And on top of that, the schedule for Houston, in my opinion, is set up really well specifically for Marks. We want two things for Woody Marks. We want an easy rush defense and a possible negative game script. If the matchup is good, then he'll have a chance to score more points even on limited opportunities. But if there's a negative game script, he's the one who's going to be on the field. Since Week 4, according to Fantasy Life data, Marks has played 86% of the team's two-minute snaps. Nick Chubb hasn't played any of them. The Texans get the Jags, Titans, Bills, Colts, Chiefs, Cardinals, Raiders and Chargers through the end of the fantasy season. My numbers give their running max a top 10 rest of season schedule. And there are some games in there where Woody Marks can really come through in a negative game script as a receiver. So coming off that poor showing against Denver, it might not be a bad idea if you can swap some bench assets for Woody Marks.

Add JJ McCarthy. So I talked about this last week on the show, but it just felt like people were prematurely burying JJ McCarthy. He had that week one game against the Bears where he had a good second half, and then he faced Atlanta in week two, and as we know now, that matchup is not nearly as easy as we thought back then. But he came through against the Lions. He finished the week in the top 10 among all qualified quarterbacks and completion rate over expected. He's now given fantasy managers two usable performances in three starts. Again, that one bad game happening against the Atlanta Falcons. They've surrendered the fewest passing yards over expected this year. And maybe you're sitting there and you're saying, well, he's only done well against the Bears and the Lions. Okay, fair. But here's the thing. Minnesota's rest of season schedule looks pretty great. According to my adjusted fantasy points allowed numbers, 75% of the remaining matchups, they're favorable matchups. They get games against the Commanders, Cowboys, Giants, and Lions to close out the season. He might not be an every week starter for your fantasy team, but you'll want to roster him for certain matchups. And what if he's just better than what everyone thought? Add Devin Singletary. Look, strictly from a process standpoint, I think it was logical to think that Tyrone Tracy would see the most work in that Giants backfield post-Camp Scadaboo injury. Just last year, Tyrone Tracy showed us what he's capable of in Week 5 After that point in time, we watched the same New York coaching staff give Tracy a 72% running back rush share per game and an 11% target share. His snap rate during that time frame was 68%. And that was on a team with Devin Singletary. Even last week when that Camp Scadaboo injury happened, Tracy had a 64% snap share, Devin Singletary was at 16%. So what did the Giants do in Week 9? They gave Devin Singletary 7 more snaps than Tyrone Tracy. Tracy's 45% snap share was lower than all but one game post-breakout last season. Fantasy football can be so freaking frustrating sometimes. Tracy wasn't 100% late in that game against San Francisco on Sunday, he was a little bit banged up. But the Giants were splitting work well before that. They gave Singletary more ground game stuff, Tyrone Tracy, he ran more routes, did a little bit more through the air. But because of that, Singletary is now more of a priority in Week 10 than he was in Week 9 Do be aware though that the Giants' running backs have a pretty tough rest of season schedule. And I don't know if Devin Singletary is gonna have tons of usability without a Tyrone Tracy injury. But for deeper formats or just for handcuffing purposes, you can add Devin Singletary.