1043: 15 Transactions for Week 9

JJ Zachariason (0:02)

This is The Late-Round Podcast with your host JJ Zachariason.

What's up, everyone? It's JJ Zachariason. In this episode, 1043 of The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, sponsored by DraftKings. Thanks for tuning in. There's no better way to get closer to the action than with DraftKings Daily Fantasy, the ultimate destination for football fans. New customers can play free for their share of millions of prizes with their first deposit of $5 or more. Download the DraftKings Daily Fantasy app and enter promo code LATEROUND to play free for your share of millions. The crown is yours. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New York? Call 8778-HOPE-NY. And Connecticut? Call 888-789-7777. 18 plus in most states. Eligibility restrictions apply. Ends December 31st. See terms at draftkings.com/promotions.

It's a 15 Transactions day. Let's get to it. Add Tyrone Tracy and Devin Singletary. So chances are if you're in a competitive league or a semi-competitive league, Tyrone Tracy is not available. But if I didn't talk about Tracy on this week's Transaction Show, people would be wondering why. He's still out there in over half of Yahoo Leagues. And that's a big deal because Cam Scadaboo, he's done for the year after that horrific injury against the Eagles. Tracy's in line to see a lot more work. He saw most of the team's backfield snaps after that Scadaboo injury, and he ran 17 routes against the Eagles. Devin Singletary, the other running back in that backfield, had four. That's according to PFF data. Now maybe that split isn't so one-sided in the coming weeks. Maybe they use Devin Singletary more than we expect. That's why in deeper formats, you can also add Devin Singletary. But don't forget, from week five onward last season, Tyrone Tracy had a really good 72% running back rush share per game rate and 11% target share. He was averaging over 13 PPR points per game, and that was in an offense that didn't have the upside that this one does with Jackson Dart. Considering Scadaboo is like a high-end RB2 rest of season, I think it makes sense to view Tyrone Tracy as a lower-end one.

Sell JK Dobbins. So, RJ Harvey had three touchdowns against the Cowboys on Sunday. JK Dobbins, he didn't have any, but Dobbins still rushed for 111 yards, and he had 14.1 PPR points. He's still operating as the team's lead back. He even saw his highest route share in five games. Now, Harvey's outlier performance, that's not the reason that you should be selling Dobbins this week. I mean, Harvey himself does matter to this equation. There's a chance that he sees more and more work as this season goes on during the second half of the year. He's an explosive rookie, he has a shot to take on more work, even if his snap share has been mostly the same over the last few weeks. The main reason that JK Dobbins is a sell candidate for me is the team schedule. So far this season, according to my Adjusted Fantasy Points allowed numbers, no team running backs have had an easier schedule than the Denver Broncos. They face the Titans, Colts, Chargers, Bengals, Eagles, Jets, Giants and Cowboys. When looking at Adjusted Fantasy Points allowed, the Colts are the toughest matchup among that group. They rank as the 21st easiest matchup for running backs. The Chargers are second toughest, ranking 17th. Every other matchup that they've faced has been a top half matchup for running backs. And the Bengals, Cowboys, Titans and Giants, they're top five matchups for running backs. They've faced four of the top five matchups for running backs this year. Rest of season, things are not that friendly. In fact, before Monday Night Football, because I'm recording this before Monday Night Football, Denver running backs have one of the toughest schedules across the entire league, if not the toughest. And in the fantasy playoffs, they get not so easy games against the Packers and the Chiefs. Look, JK Dobbins has been a great fantasy value this year. But right now, it might be the ideal time to sell him. And as we know, he hasn't had the healthiest career. There's that downside too. Add Bam Knight. So the Cardinals are coming off of their bye, they get a juicy matchup in week 9 against the Cowboys. The last time we saw Arizona, Bam Knight had a 64% running back rush share and a 12% target share. Against Dallas, you do have to fear a potential negative game script. That could force the Cardinals to use their other backs. According to Fantasy Life data, Knight's not playing long down and distance snaps and he's not playing two minute snaps either. Though I do think you can feel a little bit better about Knight because the Cardinals released Michael Carter on Monday. With that being said, he projects best in this backfield in week 9 and he's still out there in 82% of Yahoo leagues. Even if Trey Benson could be back soon, you might get some usability from Knight here in week 9