Topics: News Commentary, News
**Hurley** (0:00)
Bitcoin is back above $80,000, and its correlation to gold just hit the highest level ever recorded. And Bloomberg says investors have stopped choosing between the two. They're buying both. Bitcoin is up 25% this month with no pullback. And the biggest Bitcoin buyer on the planet didn't buy a single coin through any of it. So if it wasn't Saylor, and it wasn't ETFs, and it wasn't legislation, then who's panic buying this thing right now? Because whoever is just broke a five-year trend against gold. Today, I'll outline why this is the setup of the most explosive Bitcoin cycle ever, and why Wall Street's half a million dollar call might even be too conservative. This is TruthBlock. I'm Hurley.
That's mine truth.
Bitcoin is sitting around 80K right now, up about 25% in August, which is the best August it's ever had. But what has my attention isn't the size of the move, is that there hasn't been a pullback at all. That tells me this move may not be finished yet.
On Monday, I laid out my line. Hold 80K, then close above the 50 week moving average, which sits around 82K. We're holding the first one. I personally think the bear market is already over, but if we clear that 50 week average, I think it confirms that it's in the grave. But here's what really caught my eye today.
Bitcoin's 90 day correlation to gold just printed the highest reading in its entire history. This rare correlation happens when the same money is buying both things for the same reason, which is what the flows are saying. Gold in Bitcoin funds took in $7 billion in 5 days, a record for any 5 day stretch. $3.4 billion into gold and $1.4 billion into Bitcoin. And BlackRock's Bitcoin fund finally clawed out of a hole it's been in all year. Its 2026 flows just turned positive. Overall Bitcoin ETF volume hit $5 billion in a single day, 72% above average. And Bloomberg put it about as plainly as it can be put. Investors are no longer choosing between gold and Bitcoin as hedges against fiscal anxiety. They're buying both. So who's buying? Eric Balchunas runs ETF research at Bloomberg and I just love the way he framed it. He said it's good that Bitcoin is finally moving on its core fundamental value instead of short-term stories like ETF adoption or strategy buying or the Clarity Act. And then he landed it. Bitcoin is back to its core purpose now, which is being the second amendment of money. That's a Bloomberg ETF analyst describing Bitcoin as a right you exercise rather than a trade you take. And he has the receipts because strategy has purchased zero Bitcoin over the last two months. That's right, the largest corporate buyer and holder in the world spent this run shoring up a balance sheet and Bitcoin went up 25% anyway. Just think about what that does to the story we've been telling for two years. Every green candle came with a footnote. Saylor bought, an ETF launched, or a bill moved. This one had no footnote at all. Steven Lubka framed it right. Bitcoin took over half the inflows Gold did last week. And that's one of the first clean looks we've ever gotten at where money runs when the market gets scared about debasement.
So it's coming from somewhere else.
Matt Dines runs Build Asset Management. And his read on TFTC yesterday was that retail smashed the buy button, sure, but the size came from large family offices and big balance sheets getting in front of a monetary transition. And the tell is the sequence.
Gold caught the bid first back in early August. Bitcoin followed. That's the order of operations in every liquidity panic in modern history. So that's who you're bidding against now. Family offices, hedge funds, and balance sheets that move in size. And when that's the competition, the coins you already own matter a lot more than the ones you're still planning to buy. And that's why the show is sponsored by Bitkey. Bitkey is self custody without the single point of failure. It's multi-sig by default. So it takes two of three keys to move your funds. Your phone, the hardware device, and a secure recovery key. With Bitkey, there's no seed phrase to hide, protect or lose. And recovery and inheritance are built right in. Plus the new Bitkey even has a screen, so you can verify transactions on the device instead, instead of trusting your phone. So visit bitkey.world forward slash truth, and use my promo code truth for 10% off the new Bitkey.
All right, let's talk about what this move actually killed. Because I've admittedly been all over the map on this one, and I want to be straight with you. I've never thought the four year cycle made much sense as a pure price story. Nothing about having cutting new supply explains a top 18 months later. That math never really added up for me, but I have to be fair with what happened next, because the price did exactly what the model said. Bitcoin peaked in October of 2025, right on schedule, and rolled over. So this whole market got comfortable waiting on one more capitulation. Then the treasury announcement landed and the trade got vaporized inside of a week. So what was that clock ever actually measuring? Start with the having, because the supply argument used to be real. In 2012, the having cut new issuance from roughly a quarter of everything in circulation down to about 12%.
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