Live Bet Saturday | July 25, 2026 | Hour 5

**SPEAKER_1** (0:00)
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**SPEAKER_2** (0:21)
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**SPEAKER_1** (0:39)
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**SPEAKER_2** (0:49)
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**Scott Seidenberg** (1:11)
Well, here in downtown Las Vegas, I'm Scott Seidenberg. This is Live Bet Saturday here on VSiN, the sports betting network. You guys can always contribute to the program. Hit me up on Twitter at scottsonair, S-C-O-T-T-S-O-N-A-I-R.
Hit us all for the network at VSiN Live, as it is a busy Saturday night That's. Slate in Major League Baseball. We have so many games in progress, games that are coming up a little bit later on this evening. We'll update you on the scores in all of them, as well as what we are betting, what we are sweating, and any live bets, of course, that present themselves throughout the course of these games. We will also get into the big story in basketball that broke down yesterday. And that is the announcement of LeBron James going to the Philadelphia 76ers, not Cleveland, not Miami, not Golden State. Ultimately, $8 million for a two-year deal to go to the Philadelphia 76ers. We'll talk about the market change in the NBA, in the Eastern Conference, and in the title odds, and what we can expect from LeBron and Philadelphia this season. Plus, SEC Media Days took over the sports world this week. And I have a bunch of questions about teams in the SEC. And it has to do with the quarterback position, because we all know you are led as far as your quarterback will take you. And do we believe that the player that's under center, well, it's college football, shotgun, the player that's in shotgun, the player that's getting the snaps, do we believe in that guy to be the player, to lead that team to wherever they are hoping to go this season inside the SEC? We'll break that all down. We get started in Major League Baseball with what's going on in progress right now. You have the Padres with a six to one lead over the Miami Marlins, bottom of the eighth inning in Miami. The Yankees and Phillies are tied at one, bottom of the fourth inning in Philadelphia. Guardians and Rays are scoreless, top of the fourth in Tampa. And one other game in progress right now, Cubs and Pirates are scoreless, going to the bottom of the second inning. We do have a bet in that game. We are on the Pirates in the first five innings backing Paul Skeens on the bump here for the Pirates. But let's talk about the Rays and the Guardians in progress right now. No score in the top of the fourth inning. And I heard Dustin Sweetilson and Ben Stevens talk about this on the earlier edition of Live Bet Saturday. And that is, how is Nick Martinez doing this for the Tampa Bay Rays? Nick Martinez, who's had a resurgent season, nine and two with the 259 ERA, has pitched so far three scoreless innings for the Tampa Bay Rays, is there in the top of the fourth against the Guardians. But if you look at the underlying metrics with Nick Martinez, he's a guy that is a fade candidate. He's a player where his underlying metrics show that he is due for some regression. He's got a 259 ERA, but an expected ERA of 4.61. He's got a fielding independent, a FIP of 3.86, but an ex-FIP of 4.71. These are numbers that indicate a player is due for regression. But yet, if you're sitting here looking at the board thinking, I'm going to continue to fade the Rays when Nick Martinez pitches because I want to fade Nick Martinez, well, guess what? You've been on the short end of things because the Rays have won the last six times that Nick Martinez has started a baseball game. He hasn't been factored into the decision in at least half of those, but they've won all six games. And in the games that he has pitched, right? One run on six hits, two runs on four hits, one run on three hits, one run on six hits, three runs on four hits against the Nationals. That was still a win for the Tampa Bay Rays. Three runs on five hits against the Dodgers. That was a loss. Three runs on six hits and seven innings against the Red Sox. That was a win. The quality starts are adding up for this guy. Well, not, I mean, a couple of games, he won six innings, a couple of games, five and two thirds. But Nick Martinez is a fade candidate that's just not coming through for you on the fade. The number that really jumps out to me, and this is something that I always look for when I'm looking at these underlying metrics to determine if there's a pitcher that I want to fade or not. And again, Nick Martinez falls into this category, which makes me think maybe there's a Live Bet that we like here on the Cleveland Guardians.