$300,000 Bitcoin Is REAL…

**SPEAKER_1** (0:00)
What if I were to tell you that $300,000 Bitcoin is not a pipe dream? The same pressures that cause gold to absolutely skyrocket are playing into Bitcoin, and we're gonna take a look at how Bitcoin can actually hit $300,000 over the course of the next few years. And I acknowledge Bitcoin hitting $300,000 in this current environment sounds like a fairy tale. When you go to the charts, we're sitting here celebrating being at $70,000.
How in the world could a target of $300,000 even make sense? Well, that's what I'm gonna dive in to on today's video. There is a lot of data and a lot of macroeconomic analysis. It's how I started actually in crypto is through macroeconomic analysis that I'm gonna lay out on the table of why this actually isn't something that's possible, but actually is, in my opinion, probable. Most four-year cycle analysts and their targets are coming in at a diminished gains perspective on Bitcoin, which is a reasonable outlook, looking for a gain on Bitcoin up into the $200,000 range. And that's assuming that this near $60,000 mark is the bottom. A diminished return for Bitcoin would bring it to just about $200,000, and some extra bullish models up to $250,000 in the end of this coming bull market. Be a substantial increase of about 220% from where it's sitting right now, and that would be a diminished gain compared to the last bear market to all-time high where Bitcoin rose by 640%.
And the time before that, in our 2019 lows up to the highs of 2021, Bitcoin rose by a staggering 2,260%.
So we go from 260%, 600-some-odd percent in the next bull market, and expecting a 200-250% gain from here is a reasonable expectation. But there is something cataclysmic brewing on the underscope of macroeconomic data that I cannot ignore. Bitcoin is acknowledged as a version of store value, a digital gold. And I want to look at what gold is doing right now, compared to what it did the last time we saw these same macroeconomic pressures pointing towards stagflation actually being a reality here in the United States. A stagflation doesn't sound like the most bullish of things, and it really is a confluence of different things going wrong. We have diesel prices hitting all-time highs. We have the Iran energy crisis playing itself out. The Treasury is buying its own bonds back, with $18 billion in purchases just this week, a massive, massive tilt of the hat that chaos is coming. And home sales, housing supply is hitting a 10-year high, while US existing home sales crashed to a 14-month low. Buyers aren't interested in the current homes at the prices they're at, and the interest rates being at or above 7%.
This is stagflation, this is where the buyers are no longer interested. The fiat currency is under pressure to keep the party going, but it's having a very difficult time because you're running into oil and energy crisis, causing inflation and pressures on the average economy. And now, here's where the PhDs will come at me, be like, oh, we can grow our way out of this with all the data centers we're building, right? And that's where the macroeconomic PhDs will come at me, yell at about all of these data centers being built, and that's going to grow our way out of the situation. The yields are calling the bluff on this. The yields are skyrocketing. Ten-year yield has been above 5% for a few weeks in a row. Treasury is buying its own blood, and the only way out of this is more quantitative easing, or money printing. And in those environments, hard assets like the most proven hard asset on the planet, gold, perform very, very well. Gold is a canary in the coal mine, but what's to come for Bitcoin? I'm going to show you why.
Gold has been on an absolute tear. From 2012 to the time frame where the Cup and Handle played out and started playing to the upside, gold has risen to $5,600 at the recent peak, sitting at around $4,300 at the time of this filming. The structure of this gold chart must be acknowledged. The last time gold had a pattern like this and performed this way, it's a very interesting overlapping in coincidental circumstances.
We had stagflation hit the United States, but a US energy crisis and conflict with Iran. And now, we're staring down the barrel of something very, very similar, but the siop here is that we're going to grow our way out of this scenario where gold doesn't quite believe you. Gold is performing as you would expect from a strong store of value asset in the face of more money printing coming down the pipeline. And now, this cap and handle played out, and we measure to where it went actually to develop a bull flag recently here at the $3,300 mark. The bull flag pull, if you end up extrapolating this out and looking at where that performance leads you, it takes you to about $5,000 an ounce. Now, gold overperformed this by $5,600. Now, the last time the markets and the treasury were acting this way, gold did almost a picture perfect repeat of this pattern. You have an originating cup and handle pattern developed from 1975 to 1978 You have the expansion out of the cup and handle up to a, what do you know, developed bull flag. The target for that pull of the bull flag ends up playing out from at the time is sitting around $380 an ounce. That bull flag was overperformed by a good degree, very, very similar to how we overperform the bull flag that we are currently looking at on gold. What happened after that stagflationary pump for gold was a massive bear market. Now, I'm going to be conservative here, taking a look at where gold fell to from its all-time high down to the bull flag range, not going all the way to these extreme lows. Coming back down to the bull flag brings gold down by 55% in that circumstance. On our current situation with gold, let's take a look at what a diminished pullback down to the bull flag that was developed on the way up as the markets called the bluff of the Treasury and the Federal Reserve. Should gold fall by 38%, that would cause an immense amount of people taking profits and putting those profits on the other assets that they believe can rise over time, higher and faster than inflation is slated to do so. And it's my analysis that if we do see this historical pattern play out, and gold returned back to this bull flag at $3,300, I could see about 25% of that capital, that liquid capital making its way into the digital version of gold, aka Bitcoin. Bitcoin from a trader's perspective is sitting in a very opportunistic timeframe right now. So, the best analysts in the world are starting to acknowledge that it is a bottom formation that we're looking at currently, and I could see 25% of a gold pullback back to this bull flag making its way into Bitcoin. Now, should we see that kind of pullback? That would equal a total amount of money coming into the Bitcoin market cap of around $2.4 trillion.